Location:
Major urban cities of Tehran, Isfahan, Khuzestan, and agricultural regions across the central and southern provinces
Situation:
Iran’s 6th Year Drought
Threat Level:
Critical
Security Brief:
The water shortage in Iran is highly likely to intensify as major reservoirs in Tehran, Isfahan, Khuzestan, and surrounding agricultural regions reach critically low levels. The country is now experiencing its sixth consecutive year of severe drought. Localized public unrest over access to water in urban and agricultural areas is likely. Sustained pressure on agricultural production and rural livelihoods is almost certain. Broader regional tensions over shared water resources are unlikely at present. However, Iraq has expressed concern about reduced flows in rivers shared with Iran, which remain a potential longer-term risk if conditions persist.
